Scholars at the Institute for Family Studies (IFS) reported in 2020 that there was a clear conservative fertility advantage. This is critically important, given that fertility drives the destiny of a nation.
Counties across the country with higher birth rates tended to vote for Donald Trump in the 2020 election. In fact, IFS explains, “The most pro-Biden counties [had] total fertility rates almost 25% lower than the most pro-Trump counties.” University of Wisconsin professor Yi Fuxian, explained in 2020 how dramatic the fertility divide was between Democrat and Republican voters in that presidential election. He explained his findings in this post on X:
The IFS scholars explained how steady this fact has been over many years.
They add, “In other words, the Republican ‘fertility advantage’ does not arise from more rural counties with higher birth rates, and it exists despite the fact that much of the Democratic Party’s electoral base is among racial and ethnic groups with higher birth rates in general,” i.e., black and Hispanic voters. They find that conservatives tend to have families that have more babies and have them earlier than progressive/liberal voters do. And they tend to marry at higher rates, which boosts their likelihood of having children.
IFS asserts, “The ‘family gap’ between conservatives and liberals is a new phenomenon,” adding, “It’s only in the last two decades that conservatives began to reap a fertility advantage.”
They suspect that causality flows in two directions here. Being conversative in one’s politics makes us more fertile, AND growing and investing in one’s family makes us more conservative. Conservatives also report desiring more children in the future than their liberal neighbors.
Trump Baby Bump Even Stronger in 2024
IFS scholars have recently reported that the conservative fertility advantage grew even stronger in the 2024 election. They explain, “There is a clear relationship between the share of people in a county who voted for President Trump in 2024, and county-level total fertility rates estimated by the CDC.” In fact, they add, “This relationship is quite strong” as shown in this IFS graphic.
This Conservative Voters = More Babies dynamic has been increasing over the last few elections.
The variations by personal political conviction are quite dramatic. Those who are “most Republican” and “most Democratic” have the most dramatic distinctions in the number of babies they bring into the world, as demonstrated here.
It is critical that all new babies be born into homes where their mother and father are married to one another in thriving marriages. Ethics & Public Policy Center family analyst Patrick Brown has explained our new election outcome gives our nation a strong opportunity to pass some important marriage-incentivizing policy changes.
Elections are about the future and how to make it better for everyone. Babies are the future of humanity, and it is a very promising cultural indicator that conservative voters are driving tomorrow by having more babies today than their more liberal peers.
Fertility is the destiny of every nation. And fertile husbands and wives determine and drive that destiny. God’s first command to humanity has profound wisdom behind it.
Related articles and resources:
Red States are More Fertile than Blue. Here’s Why it Matters.
Mapping US Fertility and Married Parenting Rates
Why Americans Over and Under 50 Say They Don’t Have Kids
Pro-Life and Pro-Family Policies are Essential for Conservatives
Brad Wilcox Exhorts Young People to ‘Get Married’
China’s Population Drops by 2 Million in 2023 Due to Record Low Birth Rate
Evangelicals Can Heed This One Trend from Mormons and Muslims
Discarding Genesis 1, U.S. Population Set to Decline This Century Amid World Population Collapse
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